Pelicans Thunder Bet⁚ Odds and Predictions

pelicans thunder bet

Pelicans Thunder Bet⁚ Odds and Predictions

The Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans meet Monday for Game 4 of their best-of-seven Western Conference 1st-round series٫ which OKC leads 3-0. Tip-off from Smoothie King Center is set for 8⁚30 p.m.​ ET (NBA TV).​

Game Odds and Spread

For Game 4 of the Pelicans vs. Thunder series, the Oklahoma City Thunder are favored by 4.5 points over the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center.​ The game tips off at 8⁚30 PM ET on NBA TV, BSNO, and BSOK.​ The Thunder currently hold a commanding 3-0 lead in the series.​

If you’re looking to bet on the underdog Thunder (5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds at -106.​ For those who believe the Pelicans will win outright, FanDuel Sportsbook also provides the best moneyline odds at -210.​

OKC opened as -7.​5 point favorites over New Orleans, but this has since risen to -8.5 as of Sunday night. During the regular season, the Thunder boasted a strong home record against the spread, going 27-14, the third-best in the NBA. Conversely, New Orleans struggled on the road, managing a 17-23-1 record against the spread.

Historical Performance and Trends

Historically, the Oklahoma City Thunder hold a slight edge over the New Orleans Pelicans. Looking at their head-to-head record, the Thunder lead the all-time series 44-32٫ including a 2-0 advantage in playoff matchups.​

Analyzing recent performance, the Thunder have dominated the Pelicans, winning the last 10 consecutive games.​ Furthermore, Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games against New Orleans.​
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Focusing on Game 4 specifically, a significant trend favors the Pelicans⁚ they have been the best team in the NBA as road underdogs this season, boasting a 15-5-1 record against the spread.​ Despite missing Zion Williamson, the Pelicans can rely on their top-10 defense to keep them competitive, particularly after limiting OKC to under 100 points in Game 1.​

Player Impact and Injuries

The New Orleans Pelicans’ playoff hopes suffered a major blow with the loss of star forward Zion Williamson to a hamstring injury.​ Williamson, a dominant force in the paint, averaged 26 points and 7 rebounds per game during the regular season.​ His absence leaves a significant void in the Pelicans’ offense and rebounding.​

Conversely, the Oklahoma City Thunder enter Game 4 fully healthy, with all their key players available.​ Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder’s leading scorer, has been exceptional in the series, averaging over 30 points per game.​ His ability to create his own shot and facilitate for teammates has been crucial to Oklahoma City’s success.​

The Pelicans will need Brandon Ingram to step up in Williamson’s absence. Ingram is a capable scorer but will need to shoulder a heavier offensive load.​ Additionally, Jonas Valanciunas will play a crucial role in combating the Thunder’s size and athleticism in the paint.

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Expert Picks and Analysis

Most experts predict a decisive Game 4 victory for the Oklahoma City Thunder, solidifying their dominance in the series.​ The absence of Zion Williamson significantly hampers the New Orleans Pelicans’ ability to match the Thunder’s offensive firepower and intensity.​

Analysts highlight Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s exceptional performance as a key factor in the Thunder’s success.​ His ability to control the pace of the game, create scoring opportunities for himself and his teammates, and draw fouls consistently makes him a matchup nightmare for the Pelicans.​

Furthermore, experts emphasize the Thunder’s depth and balance, with all starters consistently contributing on both ends of the court.​ The Pelicans, already facing an uphill battle without Williamson, struggle to match this depth, making a Game 4 comeback unlikely.​

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Despite the Pelicans’ home-court advantage, the consensus among analysts points towards a comfortable Thunder victory, potentially leading to a series sweep. The Pelicans, already facing elimination, will need a heroic performance from their remaining players to extend the series.​

Best Bets and Betting Strategies

Given the Oklahoma City Thunder’s commanding 3-0 series lead and the New Orleans Pelicans’ struggles٫ particularly without Zion Williamson٫ the best bets lean heavily towards the Thunder.​

Point Spread⁚ The Thunder are favored by 4.​5 points.​ Considering their consistent performance and the Pelicans’ offensive limitations, betting on the Thunder to cover the spread seems like a solid option.​

Moneyline⁚ While the Thunder’s moneyline offers less value due to their clear favoritism, it remains a low-risk option for bettors confident in a Thunder victory. Conversely, a risky bet on the Pelicans’ moneyline offers significant potential payout due to their underdog status.​

Player Props⁚ Focusing on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s point total and assists presents potentially lucrative prop bets.​ His consistent scoring and playmaking abilities make him a prime candidate for exceeding expectations;

Live Betting⁚ Observing the game’s early stages can reveal valuable live betting opportunities.​ For instance, if the Pelicans demonstrate resilience and keep the score close, betting on them to cover the spread or potentially pull off an upset might offer appealing odds.

Remember, responsible gambling is crucial.​ Conduct thorough research, consider your budget, and never bet more than you can afford to lose.​

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